kinkkukaarlo · Polymarket wallet 0x4c8a…3d45

Wallet snapshot

kinkkukaarlo has made 548 trades on Polymarket across 70 markets, $70K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (58%) and politics (32%). On 63 resolved markets the win rate is 73%, lifetime P&L +$4,661. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No · $2,880 · 91¢ → 90¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $1,079 · 82¢ → 83¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · $193 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes · $84 · 57¢ → 11¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$144 · Sep 9, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No · +$80 · Aug 18, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$608 · Aug 4, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No · +$272 · Jul 21, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$523 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No · +$136 · Jul 1, 2026
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No · +$128 · Jul 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No · +$353 · Jun 2, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No · +$46 · May 19, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$24 · May 12, 2026

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