Geopolitics49 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?

YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$52.3K
652 trades
Smart Whales
55
of 221 traders

Smart Money Consensus

14 YESvs41 NO
26%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 37 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$235+13 new NO$2.2K
$65 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20.4K is directional: YES $393·NO $20.0K

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 666ms
Smart money 26% YES: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement…