Marc345 · Polymarket wallet 0x0911…6594

Wallet snapshot

Marc345 has made 145 trades on Polymarket across 20 markets, $104K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (90%) and politics (10%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 92.9%, lifetime P&L +$859. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $7,968 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $6,161 · 83¢ → 85¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $2,381 · 63¢ → 73¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No · $2,056 · 64¢ → 66¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes · $5 · 7¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No · +$658 · Nov 1, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · -$182 · Nov 1, 2026
• IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No · +$224 · Nov 1, 2026
• Iran leadership change by October 31?No · +$105 · Nov 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · +$232 · Nov 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · +$239 · Nov 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.