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Geopolitics20 days left

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$1.68M
11,232 trades
Smart Whales
482
of 1,970 traders · 5 on both sides

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

2 MARKETS · $4.29M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

139 YESvs348 NO
29%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 49 YES vs 252 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$1.2K+47 new NO$7.7K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$396 of $132.8K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $24.1K·NO $108.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$71.2K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$41.0K(-57.5%)
Whales
139
R
Relaccsed🥇hedged
Entry 85¢·17,298.1 shares·also $217 on NO
$-13812INV $14.8K · WR 56.7%
A
aenews2Proven🥈
Entry 15¢·61,404.2 shares
$-5732INV $9.1K · WR 74.6%
P
Parz1vaI🥉hedged
Entry 89¢·5,446.2 shares·also $662 on NO
$-4528INV $4.8K · WR 71.6%
C
Cungly
Entry 90¢·4,345.7 shares
$-3668INV $3.9K · WR 65.2%
H
Huludubu
Entry 90¢·4,001.5 shares
$-3396INV $3.6K · WR 65.1%
B
betwickProven
Entry 15¢·20,028.3 shares
$-1866INV $3.0K · WR 59.8%
E
ED99999
Entry 17¢·15,596 shares
$-1728INV $2.6K · WR 73.6%
P
pretzel
Entry 16¢·12,132.3 shares
$-1297INV $2.0K · WR 86.0%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 10¢·15,300.8 shares
$-724INV $1.6K · WR 56.0%
M
Mithrandir.hedged
Entry 33¢·2,518.6 shares·also $52 on NO
$-698INV $836 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 139

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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