pretzel · Polymarket wallet 0xda73…4d41

Wallet snapshot

pretzel has made 1,059 trades on Polymarket across 160 markets, $2.8M in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and geopolitics (24%). On 150 resolved markets the win rate is 86%, lifetime P&L +$23K. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1,517 · 11¢ → 9¢
• Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes · $852 · 45¢ → 16¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes · $789 · 16¢ → 7¢
• Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Yes · $399 · 38¢ → 13¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes · $128 · 7¢ → 4¢
• US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes · $74 · 4¢ → 3¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes · $46 · 5¢ → 4¢
• Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes · $0 · 62¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?Yes · +$6,025 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?No · +$2,490 · Oct 6, 2026
• Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No · +$4,491 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Trump say "No No No" this week?Yes · +$130 · Aug 16, 2026
• Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m?Yes · -$4 · Aug 10, 2026
• Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?Yes · $0 · Aug 2, 2026
• Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.