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Geopolitics28 days left

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
11ยข
11% implied
NO Price
89ยข
89% implied
Volume
$1.33M
9,385 trades
Smart Whales
445
of 1,856 traders ยท 6 on both sides

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

2 MARKETS ยท $3.71M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

119 YESvs332 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars ยท 57 YES vs 257 NO taking a side ยท 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%ยท net of hedges
+19 new YES$3.8K+50 new NO$22.6K
$3.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
6 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$340 of $138.1K is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $26.7KยทNO $111.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$61.7K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$27.8K(-45.2%)
Whales
119
R
Relaccsed๐Ÿฅ‡hedged
Entry 85ยขยท17,298.1 sharesยทalso $217 on NO
$-12947INV $14.8K ยท WR 56.8%
A
aenews2Proven๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 15ยขยท61,404.2 shares
$-3276INV $9.1K ยท WR 74.5%
P
Parz1vaI๐Ÿฅ‰hedged
Entry 89ยขยท5,446.2 sharesยทalso $662 on NO
$-4256INV $4.8K ยท WR 71.5%
B
betwickProven
Entry 15ยขยท20,028.3 shares
$-1065INV $3.0K ยท WR 59.8%
E
ED99999
Entry 17ยขยท15,576 shares
$-1104INV $2.6K ยท WR 73.5%
P
pretzel
Entry 16ยขยท12,132.3 shares
$-811INV $2.0K ยท WR 85.9%
O
Outsid3rTrading
Entry 15ยขยท10,000 shares
$-550INV $1.5K ยท WR 55.0%
C
Cungly
Entry 17ยขยท8,629.9 shares
$-633INV $1.5K ยท WR 65.0%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 11ยขยท10,034.8 shares
$-154INV $1.1K ยท WR 55.9%
M
Mithrandir.hedged
Entry 33ยขยท2,518.6 sharesยทalso $52 on NO
$-597INV $836 ยท WR 70.5%
Showing top 10 of 119

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 27% YES: NATO x Russia military clashโ€ฆ