dwarf123 · Polymarket wallet 0x8dc9…434f

Wallet snapshot

dwarf123 has made 209 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $340K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and sports (28%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$25K. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $21K · 79¢ → 90¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No · $14K · 87¢ → 90¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?No · $9,846 · 89¢ → 97¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No · $1,348 · 62¢ → 67¢

Latest closed positions

• Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BYes · +$4,104 · Nov 11, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group ANo · +$2,415 · Nov 11, 2026
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · +$7,030 · Nov 10, 2026
• California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?No · +$493 · Nov 10, 2026
• Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsYes · -$165 · Nov 6, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?No · +$1,302 · Nov 3, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · +$5,166 · Nov 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · +$35 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?No · +$51 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No · -$324 · Oct 22, 2026

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