Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$3.90M
22,600 trades
Smart Whales
447
of 3,480 traders · 4 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
173 YESvs278 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 44 YES vs 156 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 64%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$1.1K+14 new NO$1.9K
$275 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$119 of $196.5K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $10.7K·NO $185.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$121.4K
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$56.7K(-46.7%)
Whales
173
T
Tigerofthehood🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·33,826.1 shares·also $15.5K on NO
Invested
$26.6K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-17600
$-17600INV $26.6K · WR 87.3%
T
tourists🥈hedged
Entry 68¢·25,003.2 shares·also $2.4K on NO
Invested
$17.1K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-10454
$-10454INV $17.1K · WR 73.5%
A
Albi5🥉
Entry 64¢·18,181.8 shares
Invested
$11.6K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-6830
$-6830INV $11.6K · WR 72.3%
A
adonpolihedged
Entry 66¢·16,770.3 shares·also $7.2K on NO
Invested
$11.0K
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-6605
$-6605INV $11.0K · WR 84.5%
Y
YoshiYamamotohedged
Entry 66¢·13,119.9 shares·also $4.9K on NO
Invested
$8.7K
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-5227
$-5227INV $8.7K · WR 69.1%
7
0x7177a7f5...hedged
Entry 62¢·13,572 shares·also $7.5K on NO
Invested
$8.4K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-4835
$-4835INV $8.4K · WR 67.6%
T
thechainsmokershedged
Entry 60¢·8,173.2 shares·also $2.8K on NO
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-2702
$-2702INV $4.9K · WR 68.9%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 43¢·7,500 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-1313
$-1313INV $3.2K · WR 61.2%
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven
Entry 28¢·7,100.4 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-189
$-189INV $2.0K · WR 69.3%
O
Optimus-◆Proven
Entry 27¢·3,605 shares
Invested
$957
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $957 · WR 62.0%
Showing top 10 of 173
NO Team
Total Invested
$259.5K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$72.1K(+27.8%)
Whales
278
J
jaja5050◆Proven🥇
Entry 55¢·43,073 shares
Invested
$23.5K
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$8386
+$8386INV $23.5K · WR 68.3%
C
cambridgeisaac🥈
Entry 72¢·29,093.3 shares
Invested
$20.9K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$751
+$751INV $20.9K · WR 57.1%
P
Parz1vaI🥉
Entry 70¢·25,067.4 shares
Invested
$17.4K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$1243
+$1243INV $17.4K · WR 71.6%
T
Tigerofthehoodhedged
Entry 46¢·33,826.1 shares·also $26.6K on YES
Invested
$15.5K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$9317
+$9317INV $15.5K · WR 87.3%
K
Kevindoto◆Proven
Entry 66¢·23,508.5 shares
Invested
$15.5K
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$1990
+$1990INV $15.5K · WR 84.4%
P
Polyticks
Entry 44¢·23,736.3 shares
Invested
$10.5K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$7168
+$7168INV $10.5K · WR 55.6%
7
0x7177a7f5...hedged
Entry 35¢·21,440 shares·also $8.4K on YES
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$8253
+$8253INV $7.5K · WR 67.6%
S
slamjampeter
Entry 92¢·8,042.1 shares
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-1523
$-1523INV $7.4K · WR 61.8%
A
adonpolihedged
Entry 43¢·16,770.4 shares·also $11.0K on YES
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$5106
+$5106INV $7.2K · WR 84.5%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 67¢·10,190.3 shares
Invested
$6.9K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$731
+$731INV $6.9K · WR 90.5%
Showing top 10 of 278
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