Thankful-Lookout · Polymarket wallet 0x39fd…7d31

Wallet snapshot

Thankful-Lookout has made 2,152 trades on Polymarket across 338 markets, $111K in volume. Most of it is in politics (74%) and economics (16%). On 315 resolved markets the win rate is 81.3%, lifetime P&L +$2,282. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?". Last trade: Oct 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?Yes · $2,409 · 61¢ → 95¢
• Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes · $1,339 · 18¢ → 25¢
• Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?No · $910 · 77¢ → 99¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes · $574 · 31¢ → 21¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $477 · 29¢ → 24¢
• Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes · $431 · 72¢ → 62¢
• First Round Outright Winner in the GA-05 House Election?Yes · $366 · 86¢ → 92¢
• Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No · $259 · 27¢ → 25¢
• First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election?Yes · $248 · 90¢ → 92¢
• Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?No · $176 · 39¢ → 42¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$103 · Oct 22, 2026
• Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No · -$6 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$20 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$22 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$135 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be less than 58%?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026

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