CryptoPlaybook · Polymarket wallet 0xd4f7…73bb

Wallet snapshot

CryptoPlaybook has made 1,562 trades on Polymarket across 133 markets, $120K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (29%) and politics (20%). On 93 resolved markets the win rate is 67.7%, lifetime P&L +$5,987. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is No on "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $1,085 · 68¢ → 78¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $535 · 83¢ → 86¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $384 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No · $332 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $318 · 50¢ → 64¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $192 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes · $191 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes · $188 · 35¢ → 59¢
• Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $183 · 50¢ → 37¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $181 · 86¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$74 · Oct 6, 2026
• Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?No · +$85 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No · +$103 · Oct 1, 2026
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes · +$168 · Sep 13, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$28 · Sep 9, 2026
• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No · +$194 · Sep 5, 2026
• Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.