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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
6Ā¢
6% implied
NO Price
94Ā¢
94% implied
Volume
$2.30M
13,469 trades
Smart Whales
348
of 1,773 traders Ā· 2 on both sides

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

6 MARKETS Ā· $2.47M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

157 YESvs193 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars Ā· 66 YES vs 105 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%Ā· net of hedges
+26 new YES$3.7K+23 new NO$23.2K
$1.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers ā€” left out of momentum
7 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
$20 of $593.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $25.8KĀ·NO $567.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$146.4K
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$91.1K(-62.2%)
Whales
157
R
RailcoolšŸ„‡
Entry 87Ā¢Ā·27,696.2 shares
$-22493INV $24.0K Ā· WR 58.7%
S
SnowLover7šŸ„ˆhedged
Entry 81Ā¢Ā·26,928.6 sharesĀ·also $6.0K on NO
$-20400INV $21.9K Ā· WR 65.0%
3
3648393489047šŸ„‰
Entry 86Ā¢Ā·22,142.7 shares
$-17724INV $18.9K Ā· WR 65.9%
J
Jellow2hedged
Entry 92Ā¢Ā·17,864.9 sharesĀ·also $3.9K on NO
$-15444INV $16.4K Ā· WR 67.1%
F
flawfenceProven
Entry 17Ā¢Ā·58,900.3 shares
$-5470INV $9.9K Ā· WR 55.4%
O
occasionalAwarenessProven
Entry 20Ā¢Ā·13,654.1 shares
$-1700INV $2.7K Ā· WR 63.1%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 18Ā¢Ā·10,297 shares
$-1099INV $1.9K Ā· WR 56.0%
R
Raw-Sack
Entry 25Ā¢Ā·5,664.5 shares
$-993INV $1.4K Ā· WR 60.0%
S
seal7Proven
Entry 16Ā¢Ā·7,493.6 shares
$-668INV $1.2K Ā· WR 60.3%
B
BrownBeesProven
Entry 16Ā¢Ā·7,523.6 shares
$-606INV $1.2K Ā· WR 60.7%
Showing top 10 of 157

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 45% YES: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellorā€¦