crackenthusiast · Polymarket wallet 0xb5e2…e599

Wallet snapshot

crackenthusiast has made 6,011 trades on Polymarket across 478 markets, $350K in volume. Most of it is in politics (32%) and geopolitics (28%). On 451 resolved markets the win rate is 55.2%, lifetime P&L +$13K. It holds 20 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes · $1,094 · 52¢ → 75¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $1,084 · 82¢ → 83¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $778 · 72¢ → 97¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $576 · 86¢ → 96¢
• Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No · $556 · 49¢ → 86¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $519 · 72¢ → 87¢
• Epstein storage units raided in 2026?No · $479 · 68¢ → 96¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes · $410 · 22¢ → 6¢
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No · $318 · 68¢ → 88¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · $230 · 16¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · +$27 · Oct 11, 2026
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?No · +$321 · Oct 2, 2026
• Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$219 · Sep 29, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No · +$420 · Sep 27, 2026
• NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No · +$139 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No · -$202 · Sep 9, 2026
• Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.