Politics757 days left

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

18¢

18% implied

NO Price

82¢

82% implied

Volume

$15.46M

136,338 trades

Smart Whales

1408

of 25,188 traders · 37 on both sides

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

63 MARKETS · $1245.99M MATCHED

Smart Money

Abigail Spanberger

0¢+81¢$3.09M79/19

Abigail Spanberger+81¢0¢

0¢+91¢$697.8K92/9

Adam Schiff+91¢0¢

0¢+89¢$1.04M91/11

Alex Padilla+89¢0¢

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez←

18¢+30¢$15.46M700/745

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez←+30¢18¢

0¢+42¢$48.92M107/145

Andrew Yang+42¢0¢

3¢+46¢$13.44M737/755

Andy Beshear+46¢3¢

0¢+41¢$34.19M176/253

Barack Obama+41¢0¢

2¢+34¢$52.90M99/175

Bernie Sanders+34¢2¢

Beto O’Rourke

0¢+43¢$42.82M110/148

Beto O’Rourke+43¢0¢

Chelsea Clinton

1¢+36¢$50.89M109/186

Chelsea Clinton+36¢1¢

0¢+50¢$17.47M102/104

Chris Murphy+50¢0¢

1¢+45¢$26.33M138/164

Cory Booker+45¢1¢

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

0¢+37¢$12.52M247/416

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson+37¢0¢

0¢+86¢$1.64M87/14

Elissa Slotkin+86¢0¢

15¢+41¢$27.95M1908/1515

Gavin Newsom+41¢15¢

$27.95M1908/1515

0¢+42¢$43.47M113/156

George Clooney+42¢0¢

0¢+44¢$35.79M128/165

Gina Raimondo+44¢0¢

0¢+66¢$8.53M74/38

Graham Platner+66¢0¢

Gretchen Whitmer

1¢+47¢$12.13M452/484

Gretchen Whitmer+47¢1¢

Hakeem Jeffries

0¢+84¢$2.15M86/16

Hakeem Jeffries+84¢0¢

Hillary Clinton

0¢+37¢$44.20M91/156

Hillary Clinton+37¢0¢

0¢+38¢$44.67M189/313

Hunter Biden+38¢0¢

1¢+48¢$15.78M633/662

J.B. Pritzker+48¢1¢

2¢+47¢$10.90M198/207

James Talarico+47¢2¢

0¢+44¢$27.50M106/135

Jared Polis+44¢0¢

Jasmine Crockett

0¢+43¢$36.48M110/143

Jasmine Crockett+43¢0¢

0¢+42¢$25.72M112/157

John Fetterman+42¢0¢

16¢+32¢$13.31M619/658

Jon Ossoff+32¢16¢

1¢+48¢$24.81M525/555

Jon Stewart+48¢1¢

6¢+43¢$10.24M764/785

Josh Shapiro+43¢6¢

0¢+84¢$2.40M85/16

Josh Stein+84¢0¢

6¢+42¢$13.89M793/874

Kamala Harris+42¢6¢

0¢+40¢$42.92M110/163

Kim Kardashian+40¢0¢

0¢+44¢$38.73M133/168

Liz Cheney+44¢0¢

0¢+43¢$23.25M128/172

Mark Cuban+43¢0¢

2¢+49¢$17.69M665/649

Mark Kelly+49¢2¢

0¢+38¢$26.35M162/262

Michelle Obama+38¢0¢

0¢+41¢$41.08M135/198

MrBeast+41¢0¢

0¢+40¢$54.44M133/196

Oprah Winfrey+40¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person AD+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person AE+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person AM+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person AW+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person BB+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person BK+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person BL+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person BO+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person BP+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person BW+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person BY+100¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

Person CO+100¢0¢

5¢+43¢$12.20M644/701

Pete Buttigieg+43¢5¢

0¢+45¢$42.92M114/140

Phil Murphy+45¢0¢

2¢+44¢$14.70M370/437

Rahm Emanuel+44¢2¢

Raphael Warnock

1¢+40¢$33.84M119/172

Raphael Warnock+40¢1¢

1¢+48¢$11.50M205/213

Ro Khanna+48¢1¢

0¢+41¢$31.77M115/163

Roy Cooper+41¢0¢

0¢+54¢$8.89M161/138

Ruben Gallego+54¢0¢

Stephen A. Smith

0¢+46¢$23.11M207/247

Stephen A. Smith+46¢0¢

0¢+46¢$43.85M160/190

Tim Walz+46¢0¢

2¢+45¢$18.46M357/396

Wes Moore+45¢2¢

0¢+46¢$38.97M175/205

Zohran Mamdani+46¢0¢

0¢+100¢$057/0

another person+100¢0¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

700 YESvs745 NO

48%52%

52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 172 YES vs 152 NO taking a side · 32 on both sides

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 62%· net of hedges

+19 new YES$631+15 new NO$979

$156 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum

2 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 94% of the money is not a bet

$1.10M of $1.17M is held equally on both sides by 32 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $534 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $42.6K·NO $25.2K

YES Team

Total Invested

$625.1K

Avg Win Rate

81.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$325.5K(-52.1%)

Whales

700

HH168🥇both sides

Entry 50¢·481,006.4 shares·also $240.5K on NO

$-155125INV $240.5K · WR 86.9%

Bertapotamous🥈both sides

Entry 50¢·282,000 shares·also $141.0K on NO

$-90945INV $141.0K · WR 75.4%

Birdof🥉both sides

Entry 50¢·70,000 shares·also $35.0K on NO

$-22575INV $35.0K · WR 94.7%

thanksmomboth sides

Entry 50¢·43,905 shares·also $22.0K on NO

$-14159INV $22.0K · WR 87.0%

rando12345both sides

Entry 50¢·40,000 shares·also $20.0K on NO

$-12900INV $20.0K · WR 67.0%

okalrightboth sides

Entry 50¢·35,000 shares·also $17.5K on NO

$-11288INV $17.5K · WR 87.2%

Entry 50¢·30,960 shares·also $15.5K on NO

$-9985INV $15.5K · WR 71.4%

textureboth sides

Entry 50¢·26,026.9 shares·also $13.0K on NO

$-8394INV $13.0K · WR 92.7%

AgricultureSecretaryProven

Entry 11¢·100,000 shares

+$6772INV $11.0K · WR 91.2%

LinaBell🦊both sides

Entry 50¢·18,888 shares·also $9.4K on NO

$-6091INV $9.4K · WR 69.6%

Showing top 10 of 700

NO Team

Total Invested

$969.3K

Avg Win Rate

82.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$848.5K(+87.5%)

Whales

745

HH168🥇both sides

Entry 50¢·481,006.4 shares·also $240.5K on YES

+$155125INV $240.5K · WR 86.9%

The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥈

Entry 33¢·636,467.3 shares

+$311626INV $211.9K · WR 88.7%

Bertapotamous🥉both sides

Entry 50¢·282,000 shares·also $141.0K on YES

+$90945INV $141.0K · WR 75.4%

risk-managerhedged

Entry 87¢·52,215.5 shares·also $16 on YES

$-2667INV $45.6K · WR 73.6%

Birdofboth sides

Entry 50¢·70,000 shares·also $35.0K on YES

+$22575INV $35.0K · WR 94.7%

thanksmomboth sides

Entry 50¢·43,905 shares·also $22.0K on YES

+$14159INV $22.0K · WR 87.0%

rando12345both sides

Entry 50¢·40,000 shares·also $20.0K on YES

+$12900INV $20.0K · WR 67.0%

okalrightboth sides

Entry 50¢·35,000 shares·also $17.5K on YES

+$11288INV $17.5K · WR 87.2%

jkldskwoejhedged

Entry 82¢·19,655.9 shares·also $3.6K on YES

+$26INV $16.1K · WR 66.1%

Entry 50¢·30,960 shares·also $15.5K on YES

+$9985INV $15.5K · WR 71.4%

Showing top 10 of 745

Smart Whale Trades

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Smart money 49% YES: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028…