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Politics778 days left

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$27.68M
263,449 trades
Smart Whales
3157
of 42,636 traders · 242 on both sides

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

63 MARKETS · $1238.62M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1893 YESvs1506 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 654 YES vs 165 NO taking a side · 237 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$2.7K+19 new NO$6.8K
$2.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 91% of the money is not a bet
$3.17M of $3.47M is held equally on both sides by 235 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $546 is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $243.7K·NO $56.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.12M
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.33M(-62.9%)
Whales
1,893
A
aleho🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·767,026 shares·also $383.5K on NO
$-265391INV $383.5K · WR 70.0%
W
wokerjoesleeper🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·575,169.2 shares·also $287.5K on NO
$-199008INV $287.5K · WR 87.6%
C
ColdConviction🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·510,598.9 shares·also $255.5K on NO
$-176666INV $255.2K · WR 81.2%
H
HH168both sides
Entry 50¢·510,000 shares·also $255.0K on NO
$-176460INV $255.0K · WR 86.9%
H
holandikboth sides
Entry 50¢·341,132 shares·also $170.6K on NO
$-118032INV $170.6K · WR 60.9%
B
bestfriendshedged
Entry 66¢·206,851.9 shares·also $77.2K on NO
$-104222INV $135.9K · WR 83.1%
C
cocos228
Entry 33¢·180,096.7 shares
$-31781INV $59.5K · WR 67.9%
S
SmallFishInWhaleStomachboth sides
Entry 50¢·80,732.4 shares·also $40.4K on NO
$-27933INV $40.4K · WR 82.6%
R
risk-manager
Entry 31¢·105,000.1 shares
$-16286INV $32.5K · WR 73.7%
C
Cadabra
Entry 37¢·84,052.2 shares
$-17884INV $30.7K · WR 68.4%
Showing top 10 of 1,893

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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