Politics734 days left
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$28.15M
267,777 trades
Smart Whales
3040
of 43,012 traders · 210 on both sides
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
67 MARKETS · $1307.86M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1808 YESvs1442 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 621 YES vs 160 NO taking a side · 206 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 55%· net of hedges
+38 new YES$3.4K+16 new NO$2.8K
$74 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 90% of the money is not a bet
$2.62M of $2.92M is held equally on both sides by 205 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $205 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $251.9K·NO $51.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.87M
Avg Win Rate
74.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.16M(-61.9%)
Whales
1,808
N
ndb1🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,000,000 shares·also $500.0K on NO
Invested
$500.0K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-351500
$-351500INV $500.0K · WR 73.2%
A
aleho🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·767,026 shares·also $383.5K on NO
Invested
$383.5K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-269610
$-269610INV $383.5K · WR 70.0%
W
wokerjoesleeper🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·596,169.2 shares·also $298.0K on NO
Invested
$298.1K
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-209553
$-209553INV $298.1K · WR 87.5%
B
bestfriendshedged
Entry 66¢·206,851.9 shares·also $77.2K on NO
Invested
$135.9K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-105153
$-105153INV $135.9K · WR 83.1%
C
cocos228
Entry 33¢·180,096.7 shares
Invested
$59.5K
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-32771
$-32771INV $59.5K · WR 68.8%
H
holandikboth sides
Entry 50¢·81,132 shares·also $40.6K on NO
Invested
$40.6K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-28518
$-28518INV $40.6K · WR 60.9%
R
risk-manager
Entry 31¢·105,000.1 shares
Invested
$32.5K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-16863
$-16863INV $32.5K · WR 73.6%
C
Cadabra
Entry 37¢·84,052.2 shares
Invested
$30.7K
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-18220
$-18220INV $30.7K · WR 68.4%
R
Remote-Aglet
Entry 27¢·96,726.6 shares
Invested
$25.7K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-11312
$-11312INV $25.7K · WR 62.5%
K
KSKKboth sides
Entry 50¢·42,453 shares·also $21.2K on NO
Invested
$21.2K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-14922
$-14922INV $21.2K · WR 71.9%
Showing top 10 of 1,808
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.17M
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.62M(+74.8%)
Whales
1,442
N
ndb1🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,000,000 shares·also $500.0K on YES
Invested
$500.0K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$351500
+$351500INV $500.0K · WR 73.2%
A
aleho🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·767,026 shares·also $383.5K on YES
Invested
$383.5K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$269610
+$269610INV $383.5K · WR 70.0%
W
wokerjoesleeper🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·596,000 shares·also $298.1K on YES
Invested
$298.0K
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$209494
+$209494INV $298.0K · WR 87.5%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
Entry 37¢·639,439 shares
Invested
$233.7K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$310796
+$310796INV $233.7K · WR 89.0%
1
11122hedged
Entry 71¢·118,800.1 shares·also $15.4K on YES
Invested
$84.0K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$17120
+$17120INV $84.0K · WR 60.6%
B
bestfriendshedged
Entry 34¢·227,121.9 shares·also $135.9K on YES
Invested
$77.2K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$116173
+$116173INV $77.2K · WR 83.1%
P
petanimal
Entry 32¢·195,664 shares
Invested
$62.0K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$104654
+$104654INV $62.0K · WR 80.8%
H
holandikboth sides
Entry 50¢·81,132 shares·also $40.6K on YES
Invested
$40.6K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$28518
+$28518INV $40.6K · WR 60.9%
D
DLEK◆Proven
Entry 66¢·60,519.6 shares
Invested
$39.6K
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$11890
+$11890INV $39.6K · WR 55.5%
G
glhfgg
Entry 47¢·63,984.1 shares
Invested
$30.1K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$24376
+$24376INV $30.1K · WR 71.3%
Showing top 10 of 1,442
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 2178ms