Cadabra · Polymarket wallet 0xc65e…1502

Wallet snapshot

Cadabra has made 1,696 trades on Polymarket across 82 markets, $1.7M in volume. Most of it is in politics (29%) and geopolitics (22%). On 79 resolved markets the win rate is 68.4%, lifetime P&L +$30K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Jan 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $35K · 54¢ → 31¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $12K · 37¢ → 15¢

Latest closed positions

• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No · +$55 · Jan 3, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No · +$8,434 · Jan 3, 2026
• Aspinall vs. GaneYes · -$2,101 · Nov 3, 2025
• Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No · +$246 · Apr 30, 2025
• Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No · -$17K · Apr 24, 2025
• Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes · -$1,464 · Apr 19, 2025
• Leon Edwards vs. Sean BradyYes · -$85 · Mar 25, 2025
• Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos UlbergYes · -$34 · Mar 25, 2025
• Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin HollandNo · +$16 · Mar 22, 2025
• Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No · +$98 · Mar 19, 2025

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