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Politics758 days left

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$15.80M
184,595 trades
Smart Whales
2881
of 33,378 traders · 228 on both sides

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

46 MARKETS · $682.84M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1679 YESvs1430 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 562 YES vs 198 NO taking a side · 221 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 55%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$1.2K+3 new NO$1.0K
$233 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 85% of the money is not a bet
$2.71M of $3.18M is held equally on both sides by 218 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 10 wallets. True directional: YES $452.0K·NO $23.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.95M
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$20.6K(-1.1%)
Whales
1,679
P
poptree🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·510,000 shares·also $255.0K on NO
$-7905INV $255.0K · WR 73.9%
D
debased🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·490,000 shares·also $245.0K on NO
$-7595INV $245.0K · WR 65.9%
B
Brokie🥉
Entry 49¢·331,697.9 shares
$-626INV $161.3K · WR 59.4%
H
holandikboth sides
Entry 50¢·274,446 shares·also $137.2K on NO
$-4254INV $137.2K · WR 60.9%
Y
yingxerboth sides
Entry 50¢·250,000 shares·also $125.0K on NO
$-3875INV $125.0K · WR 96.9%
M
mcduckboth sides
Entry 50¢·244,092.6 shares·also $122.0K on NO
$-3783INV $122.0K · WR 75.9%
R
Ronaldo2100both sides
Entry 50¢·166,741 shares·also $83.4K on NO
$-2584INV $83.4K · WR 66.1%
A
AgricultureSecretaryboth sides
Entry 50¢·155,000 shares·also $77.5K on NO
$-2403INV $77.5K · WR 91.2%
C
Cadabra
Entry 54¢·110,694.1 shares
$-6624INV $60.3K · WR 68.4%
B
baseddboth sides
Entry 50¢·120,000 shares·also $60.0K on NO
$-1860INV $60.0K · WR 77.5%
Showing top 10 of 1,679

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 54% YES: J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican…