Politics766 days left
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$44.43M
94,338 trades
Smart Whales
265
of 15,265 traders · 2 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
46 MARKETS · $681.44M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
99 YESvs168 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 26 YES vs 32 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$0+2 new NO$39
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$73 of $2.3K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $0 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.9K·NO $275YES Team
Total Invested
$26.7K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$16.2K(-60.5%)
Whales
99
D
Doyle39🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·5,000 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-4973
$-4973INV $5.0K · WR 59.3%
V
Virtuous14🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·5,000 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-4973
$-4973INV $5.0K · WR 76.6%
N
Nathania16🥉hedged
Entry 100¢·4,900 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-4873
$-4873INV $4.9K · WR 64.3%
B
Brokie
Entry 0¢·304,000 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-741
$-741INV $1.2K · WR 59.4%
S
SkillzThatKillz
Entry 1¢·100,000 shares
Invested
$600
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-450
$-450INV $600 · WR 58.7%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 5¢·800 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $40 · WR 56.1%
R
rdba
Entry 1¢·3,509.6 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $39 · WR 75.2%
1
0x10e57f76...both sides
Entry 50¢·73.2 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $37 · WR 84.2%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven
Entry 1¢·1,811 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $14 · WR 69.4%
C
ChetterHummin
Entry 0¢·3,499.9 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 · WR 62.6%
Showing top 10 of 99
NO Team
Total Invested
$38.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$912.0K(+2393.5%)
Whales
168
L
Liquidifier🥇
Entry 100¢·6,352.2 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $6.3K · WR 56.4%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver🥈
Entry 95¢·5,579.8 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$267
+$267INV $5.3K · WR 81.6%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥉
Entry 1¢·432,193.6 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$428181
+$428181INV $3.4K · WR 88.5%
P
pizzaallosqualo
Entry 9¢·30,667.7 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$27763
+$27763INV $2.9K · WR 81.6%
P
petanimal
Entry 1¢·125,881.7 shares
Invested
$915
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$124777
+$124777INV $915 · WR 80.7%
J
J-E-R
Entry 1¢·118,230 shares
Invested
$881
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$117172
+$117172INV $881 · WR 56.3%
I
InterestingUser◆Proven
Entry 1¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$49575
+$49575INV $350 · WR 63.5%
D
dontbesad
Entry 1¢·19,551 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$19267
+$19267INV $255 · WR 61.8%
7
7G-MAN
Entry 1¢·22,516 shares
Invested
$210
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$22273
+$22273INV $210 · WR 92.5%
N
nhpx38txna0500
Entry 1¢·20,000 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$19830
+$19830INV $140 · WR 71.9%
Showing top 10 of 168
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 192ms