Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$9.65M
120,135 trades
Smart Whales
1074
of 20,230 traders · 4 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
47 MARKETS · $692.57M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
513 YESvs565 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 70 YES vs 65 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$19+11 new NO$1.1K
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 67% of the money is not a bet
$82.6K of $124.2K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $6 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $17.7K·NO $23.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$99.3K
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$40.4K(-40.7%)
Whales
513
F
FloatyBoi🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·82,628.7 shares·also $41.3K on NO
Invested
$41.3K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-39620
$-39620INV $41.3K · WR 63.2%
B
beachboy4🥈
Entry 4¢·248,651.3 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-4917
$-4917INV $10.0K · WR 56.1%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥉
Entry 2¢·123,190.2 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$672
+$672INV $1.8K · WR 63.4%
1
11122
Entry 2¢·63,626.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $1.3K · WR 60.6%
B
Brokie
Entry 0¢·306,019.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$5069
+$5069INV $1.2K · WR 59.4%
R
rdba
Entry 5¢·22,480.5 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-720
$-720INV $1.2K · WR 75.2%
P
pulicahedged
Entry 5¢·12,142.1 shares·also $11.5K on NO
Invested
$547
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-298
$-298INV $547 · WR 58.5%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 2¢·18,867.1 shares
Invested
$408
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $408 · WR 61.2%
T
tedward111
Entry 4¢·7,934.1 shares
Invested
$337
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-175
$-175INV $337 · WR 67.1%
T
tradervader
Entry 5¢·5,938.5 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-178
$-178INV $300 · WR 64.7%
Showing top 10 of 513
NO Team
Total Invested
$398.5K
Avg Win Rate
78.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$609.9K(+153.0%)
Whales
565
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥇
Entry 37¢·440,367 shares
Invested
$164.8K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$266514
+$266514INV $164.8K · WR 88.7%
F
FloatyBoi🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·82,628.7 shares·also $41.3K on YES
Invested
$41.3K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$39620
+$39620INV $41.3K · WR 63.2%
J
J-E-R🥉
Entry 10¢·120,335.5 shares
Invested
$12.0K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$105846
+$105846INV $12.0K · WR 58.8%
P
pulicahedged
Entry 95¢·12,142.1 shares·also $547 on YES
Invested
$11.5K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$376
+$376INV $11.5K · WR 58.5%
C
CoffeeLover
Entry 52¢·16,777 shares
Invested
$8.8K
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$7650
+$7650INV $8.8K · WR 67.1%
I
Ideal
Entry 97¢·8,021.8 shares
Invested
$7.8K
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $7.8K · WR 67.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 94¢·7,855.5 shares·also $299 on YES
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$314
+$314INV $7.4K · WR 57.7%
I
imakebigbets
Entry 95¢·6,110 shares
Invested
$5.8K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $5.8K · WR 70.5%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 96¢·4,453 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $4.3K · WR 56.0%
P
petanimal
Entry 4¢·119,314.9 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$112648
+$112648INV $4.2K · WR 80.8%
Showing top 10 of 565
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