Politics765 days left
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$19.65M
77,901 trades
Smart Whales
739
of 14,625 traders · 4 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
46 MARKETS · $681.53M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
334 YESvs409 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 48 YES vs 59 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$1.4K+12 new NO$1.1K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4.5K of $24.0K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $13.3K·NO $6.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$36.2K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$23.2K(+64.2%)
Whales
334
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven🥇
Entry 1¢·608,714.4 shares
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$10044
+$10044INV $5.5K · WR 69.4%
1
11122🥈
Entry 1¢·351,309 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$4752
+$4752INV $4.2K · WR 60.6%
F
fender🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·4,300 shares·also $2.1K on NO
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-2040
$-2040INV $2.1K · WR 56.5%
B
Brokie
Entry 0¢·314,000 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$6771
+$6771INV $1.2K · WR 59.4%
T
truthteller
Entry 2¢·55,987.6 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$396
+$396INV $1.0K · WR 57.7%
.
.sorryhedged
Entry 1¢·99,916 shares·also $99.1K on NO
Invested
$999
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$1549
+$1549INV $999 · WR 68.8%
9
0x93a93d84...
Entry 1¢·30,000 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$465
+$465INV $300 · WR 59.6%
B
Bperil
Entry 1¢·22,329.5 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$299
+$299INV $270 · WR 64.7%
K
KingJulienPI
Entry 2¢·15,000 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$156
+$156INV $227 · WR 73.1%
P
plumbis
Entry 2¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $200 · WR 57.4%
Showing top 10 of 334
NO Team
Total Invested
$145.6K
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$856.8K(+588.3%)
Whales
409
.
.sorry🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·99,916 shares·also $999 on YES
Invested
$99.1K
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-1749
$-1749INV $99.1K · WR 68.8%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥈
Entry 1¢·440,710.7 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$424219
+$424219INV $5.3K · WR 88.5%
B
basedcigany◆Proven🥉
Entry 99¢·3,560 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $3.5K · WR 62.8%
J
J-E-R
Entry 2¢·137,640.6 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$131814
+$131814INV $2.3K · WR 56.3%
F
fenderboth sides
Entry 50¢·4,300 shares·also $2.1K on YES
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$2040
+$2040INV $2.1K · WR 56.5%
P
petanimal
Entry 1¢·125,344.3 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$120333
+$120333INV $1.8K · WR 80.7%
G
gershvald
Entry 50¢·3,200 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$1518
+$1518INV $1.6K · WR 70.0%
D
DataCenterHatter◆Proven
Entry 1¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$450
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$48275
+$48275INV $450 · WR 63.5%
7
7G-MAN
Entry 2¢·21,943 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$21022
+$21022INV $361 · WR 92.5%
C
CoffeeLover
Entry 2¢·16,777 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$16069
+$16069INV $280 · WR 66.9%
Showing top 10 of 409
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