Politics766 days left
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$28.18M
69,194 trades
Smart Whales
216
of 13,307 traders · 3 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
46 MARKETS · $681.39M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
79 YESvs140 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 26 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$367+1 new NO$152
$305 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$120 of $2.4K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $3 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $2.1K·NO $222YES Team
Total Invested
$33.3K
Avg Win Rate
56.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$20.1K(-60.2%)
Whales
79
C
CryptoMancer🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·18,946.8 shares·also $120 on NO
Invested
$18.8K
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-18799
$-18799INV $18.8K · WR 55.7%
B
Brokie🥈
Entry 0¢·304,000 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-741
$-741INV $1.2K · WR 59.4%
1
11122🥉
Entry 0¢·186,573.7 shares
Invested
$410
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $410 · WR 60.6%
I
InterestingUser◆Proven
Entry 0¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $195 · WR 63.5%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
Entry 1¢·26,000 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $148 · WR 88.5%
I
Incredible-Adverbboth sides
Entry 50¢·119.9 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 85.2%
T
Threadbare-Signal
Entry 1¢·7,777 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $54 · WR 60.6%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 1¢·2,531 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $19 · WR 69.4%
C
ChetterHummin
Entry 0¢·3,499.9 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 · WR 62.6%
K
KurtOziz
Entry 1¢·855.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $7 · WR 65.6%
Showing top 10 of 79
NO Team
Total Invested
$18.9K
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$421.0K(+2223.7%)
Whales
140
G
glhfgg🥇
Entry 39¢·13,001 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$7974
+$7974INV $5.0K · WR 71.3%
J
J-E-R🥈
Entry 1¢·121,093 shares
Invested
$928
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$119984
+$119984INV $928 · WR 56.3%
P
petanimal🥉
Entry 1¢·126,033.3 shares
Invested
$904
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$124941
+$124941INV $904 · WR 80.7%
7
7G-MAN
Entry 1¢·21,058 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$20853
+$20853INV $174 · WR 92.5%
N
nhpx38txna0500
Entry 1¢·20,000 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$19810
+$19810INV $160 · WR 71.9%
Y
yumi8
Entry 1¢·21,382.1 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$21200
+$21200INV $150 · WR 70.6%
D
dodged-a-bullet
Entry 1¢·14,500 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$14351
+$14351INV $127 · WR 58.3%
C
CryptoMancerhedged
Entry 1¢·18,946.8 shares·also $18.8K on YES
Invested
$120
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$18799
+$18799INV $120 · WR 55.7%
C
CoffeeLover
Entry 1¢·16,777 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$16642
+$16642INV $110 · WR 66.9%
6
69885
Entry 1¢·12,796.8 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$12688
+$12688INV $90 · WR 56.3%
Showing top 10 of 140
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