Polymarket wallet 0x9204…5c05

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x9204…5c05 has made 385 trades on Polymarket across 88 markets, $76K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (48%) and sports (32%). On 71 resolved markets the win rate is 64.8%, lifetime P&L +$945. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No · $2,673 · 88¢ → 95¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $2,213 · 88¢ → 97¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $1,934 · 89¢ → 95¢
• Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No · $845 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No · $615 · 84¢ → 91¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $582 · 85¢ → 83¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $402 · 90¢ → 91¢
• Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes · $349 · 83¢ → 96¢
• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · $330 · 41¢ → 59¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $244 · 70¢ → 74¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$21 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$5 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?No · +$42 · Oct 1, 2026
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes · +$112 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No · +$22 · Oct 1, 2026
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No · +$11 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes · -$68 · Sep 10, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$90 · Sep 10, 2026
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes · +$73 · Sep 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.