Geopolitics81 days left
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$777.0K
13,182 trades
Smart Whales
189
of 1,315 traders
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
5 MARKETS · $1.17M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
85 YESvs104 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 62 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$279+11 new NO$2.3K
$147 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $295.0K is directional: YES $148.6K·NO $146.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$165.0K
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$105.7K(-64.1%)
Whales
85
E
elPolloLoco🥇
Entry 51¢·277,396.1 shares
Invested
$140.6K
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
$-96280
$-96280INV $140.6K · WR 72.5%
G
GoriIIa🥈
Entry 66¢·6,000 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-3030
$-3030INV $4.0K · WR 71.8%
L
Lonely-Infection🥉
Entry 54¢·4,990.1 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-1876
$-1876INV $2.7K · WR 82.9%
4
0x475691cd...
Entry 52¢·3,628.4 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-1319
$-1319INV $1.9K · WR 66.7%
B
bipbipbop
Entry 54¢·1,911.2 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-726
$-726INV $1.0K · WR 72.6%
P
PavlikKul
Entry 48¢·2,088.2 shares
Invested
$1000
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-666
$-666INV $1000 · WR 62.5%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 23¢·4,309.4 shares
Invested
$988
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-320
$-320INV $988 · WR 63.4%
M
mrkinetiq
Entry 40¢·2,468 shares
Invested
$986
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-603
$-603INV $986 · WR 58.4%
K
KrdRL
Entry 54¢·856.7 shares
Invested
$462
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-325
$-325INV $462 · WR 84.1%
R
richmond1
Entry 46¢·800 shares
Invested
$370
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-242
$-242INV $370 · WR 59.4%
Showing top 10 of 85
NO Team
Total Invested
$199.7K
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$85.2K(+42.7%)
Whales
104
H
hopedieslast🥇
Entry 48¢·89,498.8 shares
Invested
$42.5K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$32664
+$32664INV $42.5K · WR 56.5%
S
Sandy-Courage🥈
Entry 91¢·37,608.5 shares
Invested
$34.3K
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-2478
$-2478INV $34.3K · WR 63.0%
K
KrackenSruster🥉
Entry 54¢·55,146.1 shares
Invested
$30.0K
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$16269
+$16269INV $30.0K · WR 66.0%
J
JoeBlack01
Entry 54¢·45,394 shares
Invested
$24.5K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$13665
+$13665INV $24.5K · WR 60.0%
D
DumplingBMF◆Proven
Entry 75¢·13,383.5 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$1254
+$1254INV $10.0K · WR 69.2%
Y
yungstalin
Entry 61¢·14,987.4 shares
Invested
$9.1K
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$3516
+$3516INV $9.1K · WR 60.4%
T
Tempting-Tell
Entry 69¢·8,836.1 shares
Invested
$6.1K
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$1301
+$1301INV $6.1K · WR 61.9%
V
viktorurolog16
Entry 52¢·10,713.7 shares
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$3460
+$3460INV $5.5K · WR 67.8%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 62¢·4,100 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$917
+$917INV $2.5K · WR 70.5%
T
tsybka
Entry 32¢·7,498.7 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$3928
+$3928INV $2.4K · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 104
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