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Geopolitics174 days left

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$5.9K
114 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 54 traders

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

5 MARKETS · $1.11M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs4 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$1.8K+16 new NO$2.8K
$30 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.6K is directional: YES $561·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$789
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$84(-10.7%)
Whales
6
T
TralaleloTralalala🥇
Entry 50¢·668.5 shares
$-2INV $333 · WR 56.4%
T
tsybka🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·279.9 shares·also $146 on NO
$-89INV $228 · WR 86.0%
-
-BOB-🥉
Entry 48¢·166.3 shares
+$2INV $80 · WR 63.6%
A
Andrii1122
Entry 52¢·151.1 shares
$-3INV $78 · WR 66.1%
D
Diimaa
Entry 44¢·151.6 shares
+$8INV $67 · WR 61.8%
0
0x00b37ff0...
Entry 49¢·6.1 shares
+$0INV $3 · WR 61.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 58% YES: Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka…