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Geopolitics90 days left

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$954.6K
12,712 trades
Smart Whales
190
of 1,294 traders

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

2 MARKETS · $1.03M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

86 YESvs104 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 68 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$187+8 new NO$879
$64 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $320.8K is directional: YES $164.0K·NO $156.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$177.6K
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$99.8K(-56.2%)
Whales
86
E
elPolloLoco🥇
Entry 51¢·275,903.9 shares
$-83853INV $140.4K · WR 72.5%
S
Sandy-Courage🥈
Entry 41¢·36,890.5 shares
$-7666INV $15.2K · WR 63.0%
G
GoriIIa🥉
Entry 66¢·6,000 shares
$-2730INV $4.0K · WR 71.8%
L
Lonely-Infection
Entry 54¢·4,990.1 shares
$-1652INV $2.7K · WR 82.9%
4
0x475691cd...
Entry 52¢·3,628.4 shares
$-1156INV $1.9K · WR 66.7%
B
bipbipbop
Entry 54¢·1,911.2 shares
$-640INV $1.0K · WR 72.6%
P
PavlikKul
Entry 48¢·2,088.2 shares
$-572INV $1000 · WR 62.5%
I
InterestingUserProven
Entry 23¢·4,309.4 shares
$-105INV $988 · WR 63.5%
M
mrkinetiq
Entry 40¢·2,468 shares
$-480INV $986 · WR 58.3%
K
KrdRL
Entry 54¢·856.7 shares
$-286INV $462 · WR 84.5%
Showing top 10 of 86

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka…