Lonely-Infection · Polymarket wallet 0x4db1…e2ab

Wallet snapshot

Lonely-Infection has made 372 trades on Polymarket across 40 markets, $46K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (58%) and politics (8%). On 35 resolved markets the win rate is 82.9%, lifetime P&L +$2,813. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · $823 · 54¢ → 17¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $616 · 93¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No · +$149 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?No · +$24 · Sep 1, 2026
• Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · Aug 26, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Yes · -$469 · Aug 24, 2026
• SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?No · -$564 · Aug 24, 2026
• SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?No · -$747 · Aug 24, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?Yes · -$9 · Aug 24, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes · +$517 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes · -$32 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes · +$51 · Jul 31, 2026

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