GeopoliticsResolved
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$17.4K
366 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 113 traders
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
5 MARKETS · $67.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs17 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.2K is directional: YES $292·NO $3.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$350
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$349(-99.9%)
Whales
6
B
bolla-577🥇
Entry 11¢·1,742.7 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-186
$-186INV $186 · WR 69.2%
C
Cattail◆Proven🥈
Entry 14¢·707.7 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $101 · WR 66.7%
J
Johndorito🥉hedged
Entry 94¢·58.5 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $55 · WR 81.8%
B
big-bird1
Entry 16¢·23.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 68.4%
A
AskGloria
Entry 8¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 55.2%
B
0xbcd75a29...
Entry 23¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 84.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.4K
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+41.7%)
Whales
17
J
JoeBlack01🥇
Entry 59¢·4,798 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1949
+$1949INV $2.8K · WR 60.0%
S
SubashChandraBose🥈
Entry 99¢·1,652.4 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $1.6K · WR 81.3%
E
Everestpredictions🥉
Entry 90¢·1,178.6 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $1.1K · WR 71.3%
G
GaioMario
Entry 85¢·900.9 shares
Invested
$770
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$131
+$131INV $770 · WR 71.7%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 66¢·447.2 shares
Invested
$295
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$152
+$152INV $295 · WR 70.5%
L
Lonely-Infection
Entry 82¢·350 shares
Invested
$287
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $287 · WR 82.9%
N
NiceDuckBro
Entry 67¢·356.3 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $240 · WR 65.3%
D
DumplingBMF◆Proven
Entry 77¢·150 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $116 · WR 69.2%
A
AuthenticDemigod
Entry 16¢·400 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$336
+$336INV $64 · WR 69.7%
B
Brokkk
Entry 92¢·36.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $33 · WR 86.6%
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