Geopolitics83 days left
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$24.5K
552 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 135 traders
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
4 MARKETS · $49.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs17 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 88%
+2 new YES$75+1 new NO$10
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.7K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$178(-16.0%)
Whales
13
C
controls◆Proven🥇
Entry 41¢·999 shares
Invested
$410
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $410 · WR 72.2%
N
NiceDuckBro🥈
Entry 31¢·861.6 shares
Invested
$265
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $265 · WR 65.3%
R
randomWalkingShrimp◆Proven🥉
Entry 46¢·530 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $243 · WR 77.0%
D
Donny.T
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $50 · WR 73.5%
G
gotonetry33
Entry 85¢·50 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $43 · WR 80.5%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 55¢·57.8 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $32 · WR 59.6%
-
-BOB-
Entry 77¢·39 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $30 · WR 66.7%
S
SayGoodbyeFireflies
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $16 · WR 84.6%
I
IamBatman-
Entry 60¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $12 · WR 70.2%
A
AnaFav◆Proven
Entry 32¢·14 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 65.4%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+70.7%)
Whales
17
J
JoeBlack01🥇
Entry 42¢·2,181.9 shares
Invested
$919
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$510
+$510INV $919 · WR 60.0%
S
SubashChandraBose🥈
Entry 78¢·283.1 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $219 · WR 81.8%
S
StarMaster◆Proven🥉
Entry 49¢·400 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $196 · WR 55.3%
J
JJJAY
Entry 53¢·342.7 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $183 · WR 61.1%
K
KrackenSruster
Entry 16¢·906.7 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$445
+$445INV $149 · WR 66.0%
G
GaioMario
Entry 26¢·469 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$185
+$185INV $122 · WR 71.7%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 22¢·500 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$218
+$218INV $110 · WR 56.5%
Y
Yellowish-Receptor
Entry 66¢·120 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $79 · WR 59.7%
E
Eia
Entry 66¢·60.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $39 · WR 61.8%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 44¢·57.9 shares·also $32 on YES
Invested
$26
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $26 · WR 59.6%
Showing top 10 of 17
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