Geopolitics52 days left

Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

18¢

18% implied

NO Price

82¢

82% implied

Volume

$2.0K

98 trades

Smart Whales

of 32 traders

Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?

4 MARKETS · $49.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

by October 31, 2026

8¢+26¢$17.8K10/19

by October 31, 2026+26¢8¢

$17.8K10/19

by December 31, 2026

35¢+8¢$24.5K13/17

by December 31, 2026+8¢35¢

$24.5K13/17

by March 31, 2027

63¢+12¢$5.6K9/3

by March 31, 2027+12¢63¢

$5.6K9/3

by November 30, 2026←

18¢−18¢$2.0K0/3

by November 30, 2026←−18¢18¢

$2.0K0/3

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Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs3 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $377 is directional: YES $0·NO $377

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$377

Avg Win Rate

64.2%

Aggregate P&L

-$16(-4.2%)

Whales

David6🥇

Entry 90¢·222.9 shares

$-14INV $200 · WR 66.7%

$-1INV $134 · WR 61.1%

$-1INV $43 · WR 61.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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