bifurcatio · Polymarket wallet 0xa9ea…1043

Wallet snapshot

bifurcatio has made 1,223 trades on Polymarket across 147 markets, $328K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (59%) and sports (14%). On 97 resolved markets the win rate is 72.2%, lifetime P&L -$6,715. It holds 48 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $48K · 64¢ → 65¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $29K · 85¢ → 89¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $27K · 52¢ → 54¢
• Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No · $8,851 · 50¢ → 52¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?No · $7,604 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $7,037 · 80¢ → 79¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?No · $6,575 · 90¢ → 89¢
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 19?No · $3,972 · 88¢ → 95¢
• Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No · $3,737 · 97¢ → 96¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No · $3,124 · 79¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?No · +$1,060 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?No · +$147 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$87 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?No · +$48 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?No · +$190 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No · +$15 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?

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