Polymarket wallet 0xbcd7…5c78

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xbcd7…5c78 has made 240 trades on Polymarket across 159 markets, $344 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (86%) and politics (7%). On 125 resolved markets the win rate is 84%, lifetime P&L +$16. It holds 27 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $8 · 90¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No · $6 · 85¢ → 96¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 78¢ → 91¢
• Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?No · $2 · 90¢ → 99¢
• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 82¢ → 89¢
• Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 93¢ → 98¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 73¢ → 77¢
• Iran nuclear test before 2027?No · $2 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No · $2 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 86¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 4, 2026
• Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.