Geopolitics3 days left

Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?

YES Price
57¢
57% implied
NO Price
43¢
43% implied
Volume
$9.9K
233 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 88 traders

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs10 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 70% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$1.2K+54 new NO$1.4K
$401 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $785 is directional: YES $548·NO $237

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 35% YES: Iran target an Arab country by October…