Conpink · Polymarket wallet 0xc8cd…ed53

+$3,711 lifetime P&L · 55% win rate · 1,720 resolved markets · 0xc8cd29b308ef309488958f6e92614ec2fedeed53

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Wallet snapshot

Conpink has made 4,408 trades on Polymarket across 1,788 markets, $23K in volume. Most of it is in sports (66%). On 1,720 resolved markets the win rate is 55%, lifetime P&L +$3,711. It holds 64 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No · $5 · 73¢ → 100¢
Will Trump say "Burger" in October?No · $5 · 91¢ → 100¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $5 · 62¢ → 100¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $5 · 65¢ → 100¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No · $5 · 91¢ → 99¢
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?No · $5 · 82¢ → 99¢
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No · $5 · 90¢ → 99¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $5 · 86¢ → 97¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 95¢ → 98¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $5 · 74¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes · +$2 · Nov 4, 2026
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No · +$5 · Nov 3, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · +$1 · Nov 3, 2026
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Yes · +$2 · Nov 1, 2026
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.