441 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$99.5K
2,423 trades
Smart Whales
97
of 280 traders · 3 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS · $1.83M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs72 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$186+1 new NO$19
$38 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $509·NO $1.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
72.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+0.1%)
Whales
28
U
Username2133🥇
Entry 3¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $140 · WR 70.7%
X
x26◆Proven🥈
Entry 4¢·2,509.6 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $104 · WR 77.5%
V
vinii🥉
Entry 7¢·1,156.4 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $86 · WR 65.8%
M
moonthat
Entry 9¢·705.8 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $63 · WR 92.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 3¢·1,047 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $33 · WR 59.4%
T
TruongMyLan
Entry 5¢·310 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $17 · WR 59.2%
W
WeFoundLove
Entry 2¢·653.9 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $15 · WR 66.2%
B
BAO95889
Entry 50¢·27.6 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $14 · WR 57.7%
T
Tee1000
Entry 9¢·143 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $13 · WR 81.8%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 2¢·561.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $11 · WR 59.9%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$22.6K
Avg Win Rate
82.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$17.5K(+77.3%)
Whales
72
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 40¢·11,349.2 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$6361
+$6361INV $4.5K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 53¢·8,042.8 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3446
+$3446INV $4.3K · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 57¢·2,376.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$925
+$925INV $1.4K · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 55¢·2,419 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$985
+$985INV $1.3K · WR 86.0%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 51¢·1,954.4 shares
Invested
$991
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$885
+$885INV $991 · WR 84.8%
R
Rumpelstiltskin
Entry 93¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$929
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $929 · WR 56.7%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 55¢·1,436.7 shares
Invested
$792
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$587
+$587INV $792 · WR 83.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 54¢·1,105.6 shares
Invested
$598
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$463
+$463INV $598 · WR 79.6%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 51¢·992.4 shares
Invested
$503
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$449
+$449INV $503 · WR 88.1%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$460
+$460INV $500 · WR 83.5%
Showing top 10 of 72
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