moonthat · Polymarket wallet 0x5fa0…c20f

Wallet snapshot

moonthat has made 7,827 trades on Polymarket across 39 markets, $3.0M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and economics (33%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 92.9%, lifetime P&L +$3,887. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes · $93 · 6¢ → 3¢
• Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes · $71 · 7¢ → 6¢
• Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?Yes · $56 · 9¢ → 10¢
• Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes · $47 · 7¢ → 8¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $35 · 91¢ → 71¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes · $28 · 9¢ → 4¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes · $27 · 5¢ → 2¢
• Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes · $24 · 13¢ → 11¢
• Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes · $13 · 8¢ → 12¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes · $2 · 16¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$263 · Sep 16, 2026
• LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes · +$664 · Sep 10, 2026
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$693 · Jul 15, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1,076 · Jun 18, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes · +$15 · Jun 17, 2026
• OpenAI IPO before 2027?No · -$13 · Jun 10, 2026
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.