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Geopolitics80 days left

US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$432.3K
2,862 trades
Smart Whales
119
of 461 traders · 1 on both sides

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

6 MARKETS · $6.43M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

55 YESvs65 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 26 YES vs 36 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$6.8K+34 new NO$29.5K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$32 of $49.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $20.4K·NO $29.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$38.8K
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.0K(-17.9%)
Whales
55
R
rerevervadae4r3453214tpermdr43fvd🥇
Entry 36¢·20,458.9 shares
$-404INV $7.5K · WR 72.4%
M
MisTKy🥈
Entry 67¢·7,977.3 shares
$-2561INV $5.3K · WR 71.3%
V
Valen9🥉
Entry 38¢·13,309.9 shares
$-454INV $5.0K · WR 61.5%
S
SquirrelTheMerchant
Entry 32¢·9,382.4 shares
+$247INV $3.0K · WR 64.9%
L
Lolakishedged
Entry 70¢·3,875.9 shares·also $688 on NO
$-1378INV $2.7K · WR 61.8%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 79¢·3,337.3 shares·also $1.5K on NO
$-1485INV $2.6K · WR 61.1%
M
MEPP
Entry 39¢·5,684.2 shares
$-261INV $2.2K · WR 64.2%
V
vinii
Entry 55¢·2,196.2 shares
$-448INV $1.2K · WR 65.8%
T
truthteller
Entry 45¢·2,667.1 shares
$-274INV $1.2K · WR 57.7%
D
drakelong
Entry 33¢·2,765.9 shares
+$41INV $913 · WR 70.7%
Showing top 10 of 55

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: US x Iran ceasefire continues through…