SquirrelTheMerchant · Polymarket wallet 0xfb59…83f9

+$84,059 lifetime P&L · 65% win rate · 214 resolved markets · 0xfb593511b24df1edff63c35de81c72d5733683f9

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Wallet snapshot

SquirrelTheMerchant has made 5,226 trades on Polymarket across 258 markets, $1.1M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and politics (11%). On 214 resolved markets the win rate is 65%, lifetime P&L +$84K. It holds 29 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $32K · 50¢ → 79¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $11K · 84¢ → 84¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $9,362 · 84¢ → 87¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $8,712 · 78¢ → 77¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $8,420 · 50¢ → 21¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $6,835 · 86¢ → 87¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes · $4,882 · 69¢ → 73¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes · $4,699 · 50¢ → 54¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · $4,650 · 87¢ → 93¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $3,925 · 83¢ → 79¢

Latest closed positions

Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?No · -$651 · Oct 15, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$232 · Oct 14, 2026
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · +$22 · Oct 13, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes · +$296 · Oct 13, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · +$754 · Oct 12, 2026
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$214 · Oct 12, 2026

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