Geopolitics15 days left
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$10.1K
301 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 104 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
5 MARKETS · $50.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
2¢+11¢$5.8K2/14Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31+11¢2¢
$5.8K2/14
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31←
12¢+18¢$10.1K8/19Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31←+18¢12¢
$10.1K8/19
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
56¢−29¢$17.3K4/11Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31−29¢56¢
$17.3K4/11
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Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs18 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$72+4 new NO$148
$11 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $212·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$462
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$301(-65.3%)
Whales
8
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 50¢·400 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-152
$-152INV $200 · WR 69.3%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥈
Entry 18¢·478.8 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $86 · WR 64.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 35¢·200 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $70 · WR 57.6%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 95¢·52 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$49
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $49 · WR 55.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 21¢·224 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $47 · WR 72.1%
N
neverhackme
Entry 13¢·40 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 75.8%
C
chimpboy
Entry 19¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 60.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 22¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$540(+27.5%)
Whales
18
K
Ko-san-123🥇
Entry 82¢·1,270 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $1.0K · WR 82.8%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 53¢·564.4 shares
Invested
$299
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$197
+$197INV $299 · WR 87.7%
K
kanhaoleaha🥉
Entry 78¢·200 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $156 · WR 73.8%
A
akla27
Entry 50¢·163.8 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $82 · WR 86.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 59¢·112 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $66 · WR 85.9%
Z
zerone777
Entry 50¢·103.6 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $52 · WR 87.0%
L
lin20261
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $50 · WR 86.6%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 91¢·52.2 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $48 · WR 88.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $40 · WR 87.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 43¢·52 shares·also $49 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $22 · WR 55.2%
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