Geopolitics20 days left
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.1K
114 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 54 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
5 MARKETS · $36.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31←
0¢+33¢$4.1K5/10Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31←+33¢0¢
$4.1K5/10
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
22¢+10¢$5.8K7/15Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31+10¢22¢
$5.8K7/15
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
48¢−19¢$13.5K4/10Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31−19¢48¢
$13.5K4/10
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$100
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $149 is directional: YES $40·NO $109YES Team
Total Invested
$48
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$46(-96.3%)
Whales
5
S
Shy-Note◆Proven🥇
Entry 6¢·666.8 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $37 · WR 56.8%
B
balthazar🥈hedged
Entry 4¢·180 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 72.2%
M
Majas🥉
Entry 6¢·50 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 67.8%
M
manochartino
Entry 0¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 56.3%
A
Anne666
Entry 0¢·31.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 57.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$416
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$335(+80.7%)
Whales
11
B
browne🥇
Entry 92¢·118.3 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $109 · WR 75.4%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $100 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·157.6 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $79 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·124 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $62 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 100¢·20 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 72.2%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 50¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 59.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 89.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 87.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $8 · WR 83.0%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 87¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 64.4%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 450ms