Geopolitics20 days left
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$6.7K
177 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 70 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
5 MARKETS · $36.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
0¢+33¢$4.1K5/10Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31+33¢0¢
$4.1K5/10
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
22¢+10¢$5.8K7/15Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31+10¢22¢
$5.8K7/15
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
48¢−19¢$13.5K4/10Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31−19¢48¢
$13.5K4/10
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Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$57+5 new NO$312
$34 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $696 is directional: YES $121·NO $575YES Team
Total Invested
$558
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$250(-44.7%)
Whales
4
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 41¢·1,059.8 shares
Invested
$431
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-245
$-245INV $431 · WR 64.4%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven🥈
Entry 18¢·661.6 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $120 · WR 56.8%
S
seewhatido🥉
Entry 18¢·37 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 58.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 20¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$934
Avg Win Rate
72.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$104(+11.1%)
Whales
13
P
PavtheGreat🥇
Entry 85¢·410 shares
Invested
$349
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $349 · WR 62.6%
K
kanhaoleaha🥈
Entry 83¢·200 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $166 · WR 73.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $100 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 79¢·115.8 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $92 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·124 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $62 · WR 85.9%
J
jollyblue
Entry 85¢·66 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $56 · WR 75.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 88¢·50 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $44 · WR 86.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 88¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $35 · WR 69.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 88.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $8 · WR 83.0%
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