PavtheGreat · Polymarket wallet 0x048a…9be4

Wallet snapshot

PavtheGreat has made 2,745 trades on Polymarket across 444 markets, $214K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and politics (23%). On 315 resolved markets the win rate is 61.9%, lifetime P&L -$1,530. It holds 102 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no Hormuz agreement?". Last trade: Oct 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes · $2,195 · 88¢ → 96¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $1,179 · 84¢ → 98¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $1,179 · 74¢ → 85¢
• Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes · $1,083 · 91¢ → 98¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · $1,073 · 66¢ → 72¢
• Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Yes · $1,064 · 89¢ → 93¢
• Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No · $1,058 · 93¢ → 98¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $1,029 · 92¢ → 94¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · $1,008 · 47¢ → 62¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · $943 · 83¢ → 92¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 21, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 21, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19?Yes · +$5 · Oct 21, 2026
• Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Yes · -$181 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?Yes · +$0 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?No · -$387 · Oct 20, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$162 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.