Geopolitics20 days left
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$5.8K
211 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 77 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
5 MARKETS · $36.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
0¢+33¢$4.1K5/10Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31+33¢0¢
$4.1K5/10
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31←
22¢+10¢$5.8K7/15Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31←+10¢22¢
$5.8K7/15
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
48¢−19¢$13.5K4/10Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31−19¢48¢
$13.5K4/10
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Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs16 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$61+6 new NO$355
$51 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $372 is directional: YES $209·NO $163YES Team
Total Invested
$479
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$169(-35.2%)
Whales
6
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 50¢·400 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $200 · WR 69.2%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven🥈
Entry 21¢·657.3 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $138 · WR 56.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 35¢·200 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $70 · WR 57.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 95¢·52 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$49
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $49 · WR 55.3%
S
seewhatidohedged
Entry 21¢·100 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 · WR 58.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 22¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$930
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$127(+13.6%)
Whales
16
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 76¢·521.2 shares
Invested
$396
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $396 · WR 64.4%
K
kanhaoleaha🥈
Entry 78¢·200 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $156 · WR 73.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 60¢·157.6 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $94 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 59¢·112 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $66 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $40 · WR 87.7%
S
seewhatidohedged
Entry 79¢·50 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 58.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 43¢·52 shares·also $49 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $22 · WR 55.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $20 · WR 72.2%
V
vaportrades
Entry 77¢·25 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 59.3%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 77¢·23.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 80.2%
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