Geopolitics9 days left
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$541
60 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 31 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
5 MARKETS · $6.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25
30¢−30¢$7200/4Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−30¢30¢
$7200/4
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25
42¢−42¢$1.1K0/3Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−42¢42¢
$1.1K0/3
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25
13¢−13¢$4600/5Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−13¢13¢
$4600/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs7 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$4+9 new NO$150
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $129 is directional: YES $0·NO $129YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$204
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$68(+33.1%)
Whales
7
7
0x7e6afd1a...🥇
Entry 90¢·110.6 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $100 · WR 56.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 56¢·80 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $45 · WR 85.9%
K
Ko-san-123🥉
Entry 93¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 82.8%
F
FTRxlp
Entry 90¢·11.7 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 57.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 83.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 87.7%
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