Geopolitics9 days left

Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

9¢

9% implied

NO Price

91¢

91% implied

Volume

$3.8K

97 trades

Smart Whales

4

of 38 traders

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?

5 MARKETS · $6.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25

31¢−31¢$7200/4

Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−31¢31¢

Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25

41¢−41¢$1.1K0/3

Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−41¢41¢

Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25

13¢−13¢$4600/5

Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−13¢13¢

Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25

3¢−3¢$5410/7

Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−3¢3¢

Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25←

9¢−9¢$3.8K0/4

Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25←−9¢9¢

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Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs4 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 65%· net of hedges

+6 new YES$282+7 new NO$518

$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.3K

YES Team

Total Invested

$0

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

0

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.4K

Avg Win Rate

82.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$56(+4.0%)

Whales

4

Entry 88¢·1,518.3 shares

+$47INV $1.3K · WR 82.8%

qwen4.1.fund🥈

Entry 93¢·40 shares

$-1INV $37 · WR 85.9%

god83743894🥉

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$8INV $10 · WR 85.8%

Entry 75¢·10 shares

+$2INV $8 · WR 83.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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