Geopolitics9 days left
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$460
39 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 21 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
5 MARKETS · $6.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25
31¢−31¢$7200/4Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−31¢31¢
$7200/4
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25
41¢−41¢$1.1K0/3Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25−41¢41¢
$1.1K0/3
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25←
13¢−13¢$4600/5Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25←−13¢13¢
$4600/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs5 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$7+3 new NO$96
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $100 is directional: YES $0·NO $100YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$185
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$44(+23.9%)
Whales
5
7
0x7e6afd1a...🥇
Entry 86¢·116.2 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $100 · WR 56.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 59¢·80 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $47 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 62¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $18 · WR 79.6%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 83.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 86.0%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 909ms