Geopolitics80 days left
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$27.4K
423 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 118 traders
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs6 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%
+2 new YES$1+1 new NO$2
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $229 is directional: YES $5·NO $224YES Team
Total Invested
$451
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$383(-84.9%)
Whales
5
K
Kapustus🥇hedged
Entry 95¢·398.1 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$377
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-330
$-330INV $377 · WR 65.5%
A
Antonbigbossss🥈
Entry 60¢·115.6 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $69 · WR 62.6%
B
bakayo33 - 9934🥉
Entry 8¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 60.5%
S
SayGoodbyeFireflies
Entry 13¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 84.6%
S
Scratchy-Octavo
Entry 11¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 64.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$284
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$302(+106.2%)
Whales
6
C
CompulsiveGambler🥇
Entry 83¢·204 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $169 · WR 68.3%
K
Kapustus🥈hedged
Entry 15¢·398.1 shares·also $377 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$291
+$291INV $60 · WR 65.5%
E
Eia🥉
Entry 78¢·50 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $39 · WR 61.7%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 87¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 67.8%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 90¢·6.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 77.9%
B
0xbcd75a29...
Entry 86¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $2 · WR 84.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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