Scratchy-Octavo · Polymarket wallet 0xf12f…7a8c

Wallet snapshot

Scratchy-Octavo has made 1,508 trades on Polymarket across 476 markets, $3,707 in volume. Most of it is in sports (75%) and geopolitics (21%). On 361 resolved markets the win rate is 64%, lifetime P&L +$15. It holds 13 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 51¢ → 83¢
• Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 28¢ → 34¢
• Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes · $1 · 49¢ → 27¢
• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 11¢ → 10¢
• Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 46¢ → 20¢
• Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Yes · $1 · 28¢ → 15¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 49¢ → 13¢
• Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 18¢ → 9¢
• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 19¢ → 9¢
• Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 45¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Yes · -$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Yes · +$3 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.