YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$27.83M
105,928 trades
Smart Whales
3515
of 24,024 traders · 8 on both sides
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 MARKETS · $41.78M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1466 YESvs2057 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 191 YES vs 1072 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$8.7K+64 new NO$40.6K
$818 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $1.42M is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $817 is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $28.1K·NO $1.39MYES Team
Total Invested
$752.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$316.8K(-42.1%)
Whales
1,466
5
0x5bffcf56...🥇
Entry 87¢·289,704 shares
Invested
$253.0K
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-243595
$-243595INV $253.0K · WR 73.8%
T
thechainsmokers🥈hedged
Entry 80¢·47,841.5 shares·also $6.2K on NO
Invested
$38.2K
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-36617
$-36617INV $38.2K · WR 68.9%
S
Shark13🥉
Entry 19¢·52,168 shares
Invested
$9.9K
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-8112
$-8112INV $9.9K · WR 63.6%
S
Slimy-Obligation
Entry 13¢·70,669.7 shares
Invested
$9.1K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-6639
$-6639INV $9.1K · WR 72.7%
P
Pure-Threathedged
Entry 22¢·39,955.5 shares·also $31.6K on NO
Invested
$8.7K
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-7391
$-7391INV $8.7K · WR 82.0%
R
risk-managerhedged
Entry 15¢·42,730.8 shares·also $36.8K on NO
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-4848
$-4848INV $6.2K · WR 73.6%
Z
zoltar02hedged
Entry 7¢·84,500.3 shares·also $78.5K on NO
Invested
$5.7K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-2972
$-2972INV $5.7K · WR 68.6%
S
Scaly-Champion
Entry 3¢·39,858 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $1.3K · WR 72.7%
B
btobbes
Entry 19¢·5,151.1 shares
Invested
$1000
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-822
$-822INV $1000 · WR 90.0%
S
surfa
Entry 5¢·17,777.7 shares
Invested
$928
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-315
$-315INV $928 · WR 62.4%
Showing top 10 of 1,466
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.86M
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$268.6K(+14.4%)
Whales
2,057
E
elmcap2🥇
Entry 96¢·187,494.3 shares
Invested
$180.1K
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$942
+$942INV $180.1K · WR 88.8%
M
momom🥈
Entry 90¢·139,842.6 shares
Invested
$126.3K
Win Rate
97.7%
Position P&L
+$8747
+$8747INV $126.3K · WR 97.7%
C
charliealmanack🥉
Entry 83¢·139,932.5 shares
Invested
$116.2K
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$18897
+$18897INV $116.2K · WR 64.1%
C
CryptoFortunate
Entry 86¢·116,287.8 shares
Invested
$100.4K
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$11864
+$11864INV $100.4K · WR 76.7%
Z
zoltar02hedged
Entry 93¢·84,500.3 shares·also $5.7K on YES
Invested
$78.5K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$3280
+$3280INV $78.5K · WR 68.6%
A
Avamax
Entry 90¢·81,240.6 shares
Invested
$72.8K
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$5623
+$5623INV $72.8K · WR 80.2%
D
Detailed-Poison
Entry 96¢·59,938.4 shares
Invested
$57.8K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $57.8K · WR 86.2%
C
Canaldi
Entry 86¢·50,682.1 shares
Invested
$43.7K
Win Rate
93.5%
Position P&L
+$5261
+$5261INV $43.7K · WR 93.5%
L
lckstrong
Entry 84¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$42.0K
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$6375
+$6375INV $42.0K · WR 58.3%
R
risk-managerhedged
Entry 86¢·42,712.2 shares·also $6.2K on YES
Invested
$36.8K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$4539
+$4539INV $36.8K · WR 73.6%
Showing top 10 of 2,057
Smart Whale Trades
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