momom · Polymarket wallet 0x3c8a…b45a

Wallet snapshot

momom has made 2,777 trades on Polymarket across 50 markets, $1.8M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (64%) and politics (20%). On 43 resolved markets the win rate is 97.7%, lifetime P&L +$98K. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $212K · 87¢ → 98¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $133K · 90¢ → 95¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $67K · 84¢ → 96¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $59K · 82¢ → 97¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $51K · 91¢ → 96¢
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No · $26K · 88¢ → 96¢
• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No · $2,002 · 97¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$6,254 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No · +$43 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No · +$27 · Jul 2, 2026
• Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No · +$491 · Jul 2, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$1,346 · May 13, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?No · +$1,536 · Apr 1, 2026
• X banned in U.K. by March 31?No · +$42 · Apr 1, 2026

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