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Geopolitics80 days left

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
3ยข
3% implied
NO Price
97ยข
97% implied
Volume
$41.15M
106,008 trades
Smart Whales
3519
of 24,026 traders ยท 8 on both sides

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

2 MARKETS ยท $41.84M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1467 YESvs2060 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars ยท 190 YES vs 1073 NO taking a side ยท 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%ยท net of hedges
+30 new YES$10.1K+75 new NO$87.4K
$1.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
5 smart whales26 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$10 of $1.45M is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet โ€” not a bet on the outcome. $817 is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $28.1KยทNO $1.42M
YES Team
Total Invested
$753.2K
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$314.9K(-41.8%)
Whales
1,467
5
0x5bffcf56...๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 87ยขยท289,704 shares
$-243015INV $253.0K ยท WR 73.8%
T
thechainsmokers๐Ÿฅˆhedged
Entry 80ยขยท47,841.5 sharesยทalso $6.2K on NO
$-36522INV $38.2K ยท WR 68.9%
S
Shark13๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 19ยขยท52,168 shares
$-7903INV $9.9K ยท WR 63.6%
S
Slimy-Obligation
Entry 13ยขยท70,669.7 shares
$-6357INV $9.1K ยท WR 72.7%
P
Pure-Threathedged
Entry 22ยขยท39,955.5 sharesยทalso $31.6K on NO
$-7311INV $8.7K ยท WR 82.0%
R
risk-managerhedged
Entry 15ยขยท42,730.8 sharesยทalso $36.8K on NO
$-4763INV $6.2K ยท WR 73.6%
Z
zoltar02hedged
Entry 7ยขยท84,500.3 sharesยทalso $78.5K on NO
$-2803INV $5.7K ยท WR 68.6%
S
Scaly-Champion
Entry 3ยขยท39,858 shares
+$100INV $1.3K ยท WR 72.7%
B
btobbes
Entry 19ยขยท5,151.1 shares
$-802INV $1000 ยท WR 90.0%
S
surfa
Entry 5ยขยท17,777.7 shares
$-244INV $928 ยท WR 62.4%
Showing top 10 of 1,467

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 42% YES: the US confirm that aliens existโ€ฆ