Geopolitics80 days left

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$181.3K
3,189 trades
Smart Whales
102
of 551 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

43 YESvs60 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 45 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$130+7 new NO$633
$13 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$38 of $52.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $9.0K·NO $43.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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